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Forecast My races What if?Senate House Governors Election night Polls How it works

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Senate: Dem. 77 · Rep. 22 in 100
House: Dem. 98 · Rep. 2 in 100
Kansas: Hamilton 61 → 52

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Bellwether is a nonpartisan election forecast. Odds are the share of simulations each side wins; they are not predictions of certainty. Polls: VoteHub Polling API. Races and candidates: Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). Pollster history: FiveThirtyEight/ABC News (CC BY 4.0). See the methodology for every source and modeling choice.