Polls
Poll explorer
All 643 race polls behind the forecast, newest first. Search by race, state, pollster or sponsor. “Adjusted” is the Democratic-side margin after we remove the pollster’s usual lean and put the poll on a likely-voter basis. Generic-ballot and approval polls are on the polls page.
Office
Who was polled
643 polls
| Race | Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result | Adjusted |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Senate | Public Policy Polling · A− | Oct 14–Oct 15 | 578 RV | Mary Peltola 48 · Dan Sullivan 47 | D +0.9 |
| Kansas Senate | InsiderAdvantage · B− | Oct 13–Oct 14 | 1,200 LV | Roger Marshall 48 · Adam Hamilton 47 | R +0.1 |
| Maine Senate | InsiderAdvantage · B− | Oct 13–Oct 14 | 1,200 LV | Troy Jackson 49 · Susan Collins 47 | D +2.9 |
| Mississippi Senate | Wedgewood Polls | Oct 12–Oct 14 | 511 LV | Cindy Hyde-Smith 52 · Scott Colom 48 | R +3.6 |
| Texas Senate | InsiderAdvantage · B− | Oct 13–Oct 14 | 1,200 LV | James Talarico 48 · Ken Paxton 49 | R +0.1 |
| Texas Senate | ActiVote · B | Sep 30–Oct 14 | 400 LV | James Talarico 51.9 · Ken Paxton 48.1 | D +3.4 |
| Texas Governor | ActiVote · B | Sep 30–Oct 14 | 400 LV | Greg Abbott 50.9 · Gina Hinojosa 49.1 | R +2.2 |
| Arkansas Senate | Hendrix College · A for Talk Business & Politics | Oct 8–Oct 13 | 709 LV | Tom Cotton 50 · Hallie Shoffner 41 · Jeff Wadlin 5 | R +8.9 |
| Georgia Governor | InsiderAdvantage · B− | Oct 12–Oct 13 | 800 LV | Rick Jackson 49 · Keisha Lance Bottoms 47 | R +1.1 |
| Iowa Senate | YouGov · A− | Oct 6–Oct 12 | 2,245 LV | Ashley Hinson 46 · Josh Turek 47 | D +1.3 |
| Minnesota Senate | SurveyUSA · A− for KSTP-TV (St. Paul), KAAL-TV (Austin), WDIO-DT (Duluth) | Oct 8–Oct 12 | 718 LV | Peggy Flanagan 45 · Michele Tafoya 42 · Marisa Simonetti 2 · Rebecca Whiting 2 | D +2.8 |
| Connecticut Governor | Emerson College · A− for Nexstar Media | Oct 10–Oct 12 | 800 LV | Ned Lamont 51.4 · Ryan Fazio 37.8 | D +14.0 |
| Connecticut Governor | Quinnipiac University · B+ | Oct 8–Oct 12 | 702 LV | Ned Lamont 58 · Ryan Fazio 38 | D +17.7 |
| Iowa Governor | YouGov · A− | Oct 6–Oct 12 | 2,245 LV | Rob Sand 50 · Zach Lahn 44 | D +6.2 |
| Minnesota Governor | SurveyUSA · A− for KSTP-TV (St. Paul), KAAL-TV (Austin), WDIO-DT (Duluth) | Oct 8–Oct 12 | 718 LV | Amy Klobuchar 48 · Lisa Demuth 41 · Steven Young 3 | D +6.8 |
| Iowa Senate | Marist University | Oct 8–Oct 11 | 1,100 LV | Ashley Hinson 45 · Josh Turek 48 | D +0.7 |
| North Carolina Senate | SurveyUSA · A− for WRAL-TV, WSOC-TV | Oct 7–Oct 11 | 643 LV | Roy Cooper 54 · Michael Whatley 40 | D +13.8 |
| Texas Senate | Quantus Insights | Oct 9–Oct 11 | 854 LV | James Talarico 46.7 · Ken Paxton 47.2 · Ted Brown 2.2 | D +0.5 |
| Iowa Governor | Marist University | Oct 8–Oct 11 | 1,100 LV | Rob Sand 52 · Zach Lahn 45 | D +4.7 |
| Florida (special) Senate | MDW for EDGE Communications | Oct 4–Oct 10 | 800 LV | Ashley Moody 48 · Angie Nixon 42 | R +6.0 |
| Florida Governor | Change Research · B− for Freedom Project USA | Oct 8–Oct 10 | 920 LV | Byron Donalds 47 · David Jolly 47 | R +1.9 |
| Florida Governor | MDW Communications for EDGE Communications | Oct 4–Oct 10 | 2,351 LV | Byron Donalds 46 · David Jolly 44 | R +2.7 |
| Ohio (special) Senate | Bowling Green State University/YouGov · A− | Sep 29–Oct 9 | 1,000 LV | Sherrod Brown 48 · Jon Husted 42 · Bill Redpath 3 · Greg Levy 5 | D +5.1 |
| Arizona Governor | Equis Research | Oct 1–Oct 9 | 1,214 RV | Katie Hobbs 49 · Andy Biggs 43 | D +6.1 |
| Ohio Governor | Bowling Green State University/YouGov · A− | Sep 29–Oct 9 | 1,000 LV | Amy Acton 50 · Vivek Ramaswamy 44 · Don Kissick 4 | D +5.1 |
| Minnesota District 1 House | SurveyUSA · A− for KAAL-TV | Oct 4–Oct 9 | 565 LV | Brad Finstad 44 · Jake Johnson 46 | D +1.8 |
| Michigan Senate | The Tyson Group · B− for Alliance for a Better Future | Oct 6–Oct 8 | 600 LV | Abdul El-Sayed 44 · Mike Rogers 46 | R +0.7 |
| Texas Senate | ReconMR/Siena University · A | Oct 5–Oct 8 | 617 LV | James Talarico 48 · Ken Paxton 44 | D +2.4 |
| Texas Governor | ReconMR/Siena University · A | Oct 5–Oct 8 | 617 LV | Greg Abbott 48 · Gina Hinojosa 47 | R +2.6 |
| Florida (special) Senate | St. Pete Polls · B− for Florida Politics | Oct 5–Oct 7 | 836 LV | Ashley Moody 47 · Angie Nixon 45 | R +3.9 |
| North Carolina Senate | Change Research · B− for Carolina Forward | Oct 1–Oct 7 | 829 LV | Roy Cooper 50 · Michael Whatley 40 · Shannon Bray 2 · Michael Dublin 1 | D +8.1 |
| Connecticut Governor | Wesleyan University Survey Lab/YouGov · A− for CT Mirror, The Connecticut Project | Sep 22–Oct 7 | — | Ned Lamont 57 · Ryan Fazio 34 | D +21.9 |
| Florida Governor | St. Pete Polls · B− for Florida Politics | Oct 5–Oct 7 | 836 LV | Byron Donalds 45 · David Jolly 45 | R +1.9 |
| Minnesota Governor | Mason-Dixon · A− for StarTribune, KARE | Oct 5–Oct 7 | 800 LV | Amy Klobuchar 50 · Lisa Demuth 41 | D +8.6 |
| California District 48 House | SurveyUSA · A− for KGTV (San Diego), The San Diego Union-Tribune | Oct 1–Oct 7 | 518 LV | Marni von Wilpert 47 · Jim Desmond 38 | D +8.8 |
| Ohio (special) Senate | co/efficient · B | Oct 5–Oct 6 | 925 LV | Sherrod Brown 45 · Jon Husted 46 | D +2.7 |
| Ohio (special) Senate | co/efficient · B | Oct 5–Oct 6 | 925 LV | Sherrod Brown 43 · Jon Husted 44 · Gregory Levy 3 · Bill Redpath 1 | D +2.7 |
| Iowa Senate | Emerson College · A− for Nexstar Media | Oct 5–Oct 6 | 650 LV | Josh Turek 45 · Ashley Hinson 46.6 · Thomas Laehn 1.5 | R +1.2 |
| Iowa Governor | Emerson College · A− for Nexstar Media | Oct 5–Oct 6 | 650 LV | Rob Sand 49 · Zach Lahn 45.3 | D +4.1 |
| New York Governor | Beacon Research · D for Secure AI Project | Oct 1–Oct 6 | 820 RV | Kathy Hochul 53 · Bruce Blakeman 31 | D +20.6 |
| Ohio Governor | co/efficient · B | Oct 5–Oct 6 | 925 LV | Amy Acton 43 · Vivek Ramaswamy 45 · Don Kissick 3 | D +1.7 |
| New York District 21 House | Siena University · A for WAMC-FM, Albany Times Union, WPTZ | Sep 30–Oct 6 | 496 LV | Blake Gendebien 46 · Anthony Constantino 42 · Christopher Schmidt 5 | D +2.8 |
| North Carolina District 1 House | Neighborhood Research and Media · B | Oct 1–Oct 6 | 303 LV | Don Davis 51 · Laurie Buckhout 41 | D +10.0 |
| Ohio (special) Senate | CNN/SSRS · B− | Sep 29–Oct 5 | 760 LV | Sherrod Brown 49 · Jon Husted 43 | D +5.5 |
| Iowa Senate | CNN/SSRS · B− | Sep 29–Oct 5 | 801 LV | Ashley Hinson 45 · Josh Turek 43 | R +2.5 |
| Maine Senate | The Washington Post/George Mason University School of Policy and Government · A+ | Sep 30–Oct 5 | 800 LV | Troy Jackson 50 · Susan Collins 45 | D +4.3 |
| Nebraska Senate | National Public Affairs | Oct 2–Oct 5 | 800 LV | Pete Ricketts 49 · Dan Osborn 46 | R +0.5 |
| Iowa Governor | CNN/SSRS · B− | Sep 29–Oct 5 | 801 LV | Rob Sand 51 · Zach Lahn 42 | D +8.5 |
| Nebraska Governor | National Public Affairs | Oct 2–Oct 5 | 800 LV | Jim Pillen 44 · Lynne Walz 40 · Brett Lindstrom 7 · Rick Beard 5 | R +1.5 |
| New York Governor | Emerson College · A− for WPIX | Oct 3–Oct 5 | 900 LV | Bruce Blakeman 39.7 · Kathy Hochul 52.4 | D +13.1 |