Brent Andersen
Republican
U.S. House · open seat · All Florida races
Florida District 20
Solid D
Debbie Wasserman Schultz
Democratic
100 in 100
chance of winning, out of 100
Brent Andersen
Republican
0 in 100
Debbie Wasserman Schultz wins in 100 of 100 simulations.
There are no qualifying public polls yet, so the forecast leans on fundamentals; partisan lean, the national environment and incumbency point to Debbie Wasserman Schultz +49.6.
Where the result could land
Every simulated outcome, grouped in 2-point steps. Projected margin Schultz +49.6; 80 in 100 fall between Schultz +42.2 and Schultz +56.9.
The candidates
No biography on file yet.
Debbie Wasserman Schultz
Democratic
Kedner Maxime
Independent Party of Florida
Ballot list and short bios from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA); websites from Wikidata.
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Polls
No public polls have tested Debbie Wasserman Schultz against Brent Andersen yet.
No polls of this matchup yet, so there is no polling average. The forecast relies on fundamentals.
Chance of winning over time
How this race’s odds have moved as polls and the national environment changed.
Out of 100. Today: Schultz 100, Andersen 0.
What’s driving the forecast
The model blends each estimate by how much to trust it right now. Polls get 0% of the weight, 15 days out.
| Polling average (after adjustments) | — | no polls |
| Partisan lean (Cook PVI, 2026 lines) | D+20.0 | roughly 40 points of margin vs. the nation |
| National environment | D+9.6 | generic ballot + presidential approval |
| Incumbency | none | open seat or incumbent not on ballot |
| Fundamentals estimate | Schultz +49.6 | ±6 typical error |
| Expert ratings (average) | — | used only in the “+ Expert ratings” version |
| Forecast | Schultz +49.6 | ±5.7 standard deviation, including 2.3 for movement before Election Day |
All three versions
- Polls only: Debbie Wasserman Schultz 100 in 100 (Solid D)
- Polls + fundamentals: Debbie Wasserman Schultz 100 in 100 (Solid D)
- Polls + fundamentals + experts: Debbie Wasserman Schultz 100 in 100 (Solid D)
Rules and notes
- Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D) resigned April 21, 2026. Democratic loss.
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