All states · 2026 elections
Arizona
10 races on the Nov. 3 ballot: governor, 9 U.S. House seats. Polls close at 9pm Eastern. 2 races are likely to change parties.
Statewide
U.S. House
| Race | Rating | Last 30 days | Non-Republican side | Republican side | Projected margin | Polls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona District 1 | Likely D Likely flip · R → D | Amish Shah 92 in 100 | Jay Feely 8 in 100 | Shah +5.5 | 1 | |
| Arizona District 2 | Likely R | Jonathan Nez 23 in 100 | Eli Crane 77 in 100 | Crane +4.3 | none | |
| Arizona District 3 | Solid D | — | Yassamin Ansari 100 in 100 | Alan Aversa (O) 0 in 100 | Ansari +57.3 | none |
| Arizona District 4 | Solid D | — | Greg Stanton >99 in 100 | Zuhdi Jasser <1 in 100 | Stanton +21.1 | none |
| Arizona District 5 | Solid R | — | Elizabeth Lee 2 in 100 | Mark Lamb 98 in 100 | Lamb +12.2 | none |
| Arizona District 6 | Likely D Likely flip · R → D | JoAnna Mendoza 90 in 100 | Juan Ciscomani 10 in 100 | Mendoza +7.5 | none | |
| Arizona District 7 | Solid D | — | Adelita Grijalva 100 in 100 | Daniel Butierez 0 in 100 | Grijalva +38.8 | none |
| Arizona District 8 | Solid R | — | Bernadette Greene-Placentia 2 in 100 | Abraham Hamadeh 98 in 100 | Hamadeh +11.9 | none |
| Arizona District 9 | Solid R | — | Dani Sterbinsky <1 in 100 | Paul Gosar >99 in 100 | Gosar +22.6 | none |
County map
Arizona’s counties, colored by the 2024 presidential vote.
2024 results: Fox News 2024 county results, compiled by Tony McGovern (github.com/tonmcg/US_County_Level_Election_Results_08-24). Not authoritative.
Also: find the races on your ballot by ZIP code · election-night schedule. Odds are the share of simulations each side wins.