U.S. House
Michigan U.S. House races| Race | Rating | Last 30 days | Non-Republican side | Republican side | Projected margin | Polls |
|---|
| Michigan District 1 | Solid R | — | Callie Barr
1 in 100 | Jack Bergman
99 in 100 | Bergman +14.1 | none |
| Michigan District 2 | Solid R | — | Ben Ambrose
<1 in 100 | John Moolenaar
>99 in 100 | Moolenaar +24.0 | none |
| Michigan District 3 | Solid D | — | Hillary Scholten
>99 in 100 | Terri DeBoer
<1 in 100 | Scholten +21.1 | none |
| Michigan District 4 | Toss-up
Could flip · R → D | | Sean McCann
44 in 100 | Bill Huizenga
56 in 100 | Huizenga +0.9 | none |
| Michigan District 5 | Solid R | — | Christian Vukasovich
<1 in 100 | Tim Walberg
>99 in 100 | Walberg +21.6 | none |
| Michigan District 6 | Solid D | — | Debbie Dingell
100 in 100 | Heather Smiley
0 in 100 | Dingell +37.9 | none |
| Michigan District 7 | Likely D
Likely flip · R → D | | William Lawrence
88 in 100 | Tom Barrett
12 in 100 | Lawrence +4.4 | 1 |
| Michigan District 8 | Solid D | — | Kristen McDonald Rivet
98 in 100 | Thomas Smith
2 in 100 | Rivet +11.3 | none |
| Michigan District 9 | Solid R | — | Ray Pooley
0 in 100 | Lisa McClain
100 in 100 | McClain +27.0 | none |
| Michigan District 10 | Likely D
Likely flip · R → D | | Christina Hines
77 in 100 | Mike Bouchard Jr.
23 in 100 | Hines +2.8 | 1 |
| Michigan District 11 | Solid D | — | Jeremy Moss
>99 in 100 | Ethan Baker
<1 in 100 | Moss +27.6 | none |
| Michigan District 12 | Solid D | — | Rashida Tlaib
100 in 100 | James Hooper
0 in 100 | Tlaib +55.9 | none |
| Michigan District 13 | Solid D | — | Donavan McKinney
100 in 100 | T. P. Nykoriak
0 in 100 | McKinney +53.6 | none |
County map
Michigan’s counties, colored by the 2024 presidential vote.
Color shows the 2024 presidential margin in each county. Hover or tap a county for its numbers.20+ · 10 · 3 · within 3 · 3 · 10 · 20+ points (left: Republican, right: Democratic)
2024 results: Fox News 2024 county results, compiled by Tony McGovern (github.com/tonmcg/US_County_Level_Election_Results_08-24). Not authoritative.
Also: find the races on your ballot by ZIP code · election-night schedule. Odds are the share of simulations each side wins.